Wednesday, January 8, 2014

Top Ten HVAC Predictions for 2014

1. LEED V4, released last fall, includes a reference to either AHRI 885 or the ASHRAE Handbooks to prove compliance to acoustical requirements. The handbooks are missing a critical path table for the sound transmitted from a plenum noise source into a space. The incoming chair of TC 2.1 has indicated he will get the missing ceiling table included in the Handbooks. I predict he will fail in this effort for at least three years and that the 885 handbooks will be the only easy path to compliance. (One can hire an acoustician, of course, and TC 2.6 is populated with them).

2. Installed linear diffusers will still fail to have pattern controllers set prior to balancing. If adjusted after balancing, rebalancing is required. It is the design engineer’s responsibility to provide the adjustment information. The installing contractor should be designated as the one responsible for setting the pattern deflectors.

3. ASHRAE Thermal Comfort Standard (55-2013) has been modified to include Normative (mandatory) and Informative sections so that it can be referenced directly in codes. ADPI will be included by reference to the ASHRAE Handbooks, which will be updated to show the relationship between air distribution and thermal comfort.

4. There will still be no new published, peer reviewed, energy savings data for any of the “energy saving” systems (VRF, displacement, underfloor, or chilled beams), but engineers will continue to claim energy savings compared to overhead systems, to get LEED or Energy Star ratings.

5. The AHRI / ASHRAE study on whole system energy use of fan powered boxes will start to be integrated into the Energy Plus and possibly Trane Trace and Carrier HAP energy models under an AHRI research program.

6. The number 1 reason for not renewing the lease in high rise buildings will continue to be “occupant dissatisfaction with the building environment” (ie: comfort). It has been so for the past 20 years, so this is likely a ‘gimmee’. One can hope I miss this one.

7. The market for HVAC components will again be up about 5% with pent-up demand slowly coming back.

8. VAV overhead air distribution will continue to be (by far) the most used system in new buildings. As loads decrease, it will become more apparent that the ventilation load in the interior is the predominant building load. ASHRAE RP 1515 will open a lot of eyes. The report from the ASHRAE MTG on Advanced Air Distribution will be circulated showing paths to optimize system design.

9. While many VAV box schedules will continue to show design discharge temperatures in excess of 90°F, a number of Engineers will finally get it. (ps: Hot air rises!)

10. Sadly, I predict that the Cowboys will continue to wallow in the mud of disappointment.

Authored by: Dan Int-Hout, Chief Engineer Krueger